Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.167142 0.191286 0.218572 0.251868 0.291636 0.337907 0.396244
2025-07-06 0.127811 0.158599 0.197115 0.249581 0.320353 0.414237 0.551197
2025-07-13 0.107054 0.140949 0.186689 0.254528 0.355442 0.504891 0.752889
2025-07-20 0.093379 0.128775 0.179500 0.260145 0.390417 0.602826 0.999364
2025-07-27 0.083298 0.119333 0.173624 0.265202 0.424202 0.707005 1.296912
2025-08-03 0.075942 0.112463 0.169961 0.272241 0.462004 0.828490 1.681259
2025-08-10 0.069154 0.105317 0.164426 0.274532 0.491189 0.942202 2.106020
2025-08-17 0.063308 0.098809 0.158789 0.275239 0.517051 1.057139 2.598425
2025-08-24 0.058038 0.092546 0.152574 0.273500 0.537192 1.165987 3.143118
2025-08-31 0.053210 0.086449 0.145769 0.269257 0.550700 1.263630 3.722733
2025-09-07 0.050406 0.083580 0.144468 0.275926 0.590853 1.446211 4.741976
2025-09-14 0.046598 0.078470 0.138234 0.270955 0.601584 1.551198 5.562471
2025-09-21 0.043948 0.075300 0.135522 0.273611 0.633484 1.737403 6.954248
2025-09-28 0.040970 0.071224 0.130531 0.270287 0.648996 1.880242 8.329748
2025-10-05 0.039094 0.069086 0.129251 0.275538 0.690352 2.135505 10.734032
2025-10-12 0.037463 0.067261 0.128393 0.281677 0.736484 2.437008 14.033163
2025-10-19 0.035925 0.065468 0.127376 0.287241 0.782905 2.771113 18.401642
2025-10-26 0.034670 0.064131 0.127199 0.295006 0.839478 3.192129 24.865929
2025-11-02 0.033153 0.062104 0.125220 0.297534 0.879241 3.565609 32.301450
2025-11-09 0.031648 0.059974 0.122764 0.298315 0.913370 3.940506 41.581322
2025-11-16 0.030104 0.057631 0.119554 0.296395 0.937083 4.280890 52.382870
2025-11-23 0.028527 0.055092 0.115621 0.291710 0.948807 4.563913 64.223383
2025-11-30 0.027726 0.054207 0.115634 0.299074 1.013187 5.257163 91.915821